Thursday, December 30, 2010
Thursday, April 1, 2010
Magicmercury Blog visited
Interesting Blog http://www.projectlinux.org by a writer from Sweden has something what one would expect from a serious blogger: a regular flow of posts. Author is focused on all aspects of Life: from pets to movies. A really wide topics covered, excellent reading.
Good work Magicmercury!
Tuesday, March 30, 2010
No blog posts doesn't mean nothing is going on
The title explains everything, I hope. Last months I have spend a lot of time especially on betting prediction application I was writing several times last year. The basic idea is that it works. My method which combines different concepts including some learned in the forex trading (having in mind Fibonacci approaches) is doing great. So far not all my bets were made with real money but on my Twitter account you can follow the history of my betting signal. Time and energy put into this betting project was rather high and slowly I expect it to generate some profit. It is about time my brothers would say.
Friday, December 18, 2009
End of the year, perfect time for new start
Wow. I can't believe it, I haven't write a single post on my blog since May 2009. Uf. That's really long period of time. It seems that I will become more active soonish. But let me first explain how my projects are going. Actually I will focus 100% on betting in this post, tough I was testing for last 9 months a very good Forex system.
- since I expanded collection of data for football matches from Premier League in England to all major leagues around the world, I am getting a lot of information much faster;
- more data means more picks, and at the same time, there is more days available to bet;
- soon I will start collect performance of my picks;
- for now, all football picks will be posted on my Twitter account http://twitter.com/th0rest , this will be so called DEMO period;
- picks will be published daily in the evening for the next day matches: example can be seen here: http://twitter.com/Th0rest/status/6771334277 .
Friday, May 22, 2009
Why my betting appliction didn't work out well
For the last two years I was working on online betting predictions. First I started with simple laying on horses with relatively high odd, bellow 1.6. The strategy behind was simple and can be found on various websites which are revealing so called "holly grail". The horses which are potential winners are often not winning, so laying on them brings nice profit. But it is not that easy and I was trying to use my statistical and other knowledge to build up an application, which would combine three major parameters: current odd (later on when Betfair added near price prediction, I used that odd), intelligence information (website which was predicting winners) and history results. First notion in my blog about this activity was in post Free Forex and betting signal over Twitter.
System was great when it got enough historical cases, i.e. around 100 events. But there was a little problem... Based on assumption, that I lay on odds 1.6 and lower, I ended laying on horses in interval of 2.5. - 3.1 (which was flexible of course, since my application was learning from new data). This interval is no longer high profit and my predictions seems to be very accurate. But if I missed it, there was major loss. This was no go, and after several months of posting my prediction on Twitter, I closed this story.
And went to next challenge, which was Premiership soccer games. Since I started it some months ago, it still didn't got enough data, but I got some very good results out of it. My strategy is betting on matches to have Over 2.5 goals. A very popular option of betting, since it doesn't matter who wins and scores, but only to have 3 goals on the single match. And surprisingly it happens many times, and with a little help of my application, results were even more accurate. So for next season I plan to rebuild my prediction application and get really profit of it. I am optimistic, as results shows high correlations with my signal, also posted on my Twitter page.
Lesson learned: methods and ways to make money on Internet are numerous. But everything must be tested first. And maybe most important thing: set your goals, and don't change them in the middle of a project. If you get bet results, try something else, from scratch.
Thursday, April 16, 2009
ALERT: Liberty Reserve phising email
From August last year I haven't receive any phishing email from Liberty Reserve... Last one was on Liberty Reserve - phishing emails - watch out. Today I received new one. It really is annoying when I see such emails, which can be very dangerous for Liberty Reserve users. So if you have money on Liberty Reserve, do never click on any link from email or suspicious websites.
Even if it looks like it is directly from LR, it just looks like. Even if link seems to be correct, believe me, it is just text, the real URL address behind is different and will take you to hostile site where they take your credentials.
Here is how it looks the email I got (links removed of course):IMPORTANT: Your LibertyRes
Liberty Reserve
to me
Wednesday, April 15, 2009
Web Hosting Geeks: name says it all
A web site which is online since 2004 has a lot to offer. The name web hosting geeks describes the best what this site offers. It is the most comprehensive overview of web sites which offer web hosting. And much more. Actually I was surprised how low website hosting prices are. I like when information is provided in a simple way: tables with price information and essential information on sites reviewed are transparently displayed. Web Hosting Geeks website goes even further, it offer much more than simple listing of web hosting. You can find web hosting awards, reviews and blogs.
Web hosting sounds familiar to everyone out here on Internet, but are we really aware of all traps behind? And there is also a question of security of web hosting. All those aspects are covered on Web Hosting Geeks site in blog categories section.
Reading this site I am thinking about moving my blog to some other service. Blogspot is ok, but comparing what you can get for small amount of money it really is a bargain.