Thursday, April 1, 2010

Magicmercury Blog visited

Interesting Blog http://www.projectlinux.org by a writer from Sweden has something what one would expect from a serious blogger: a regular flow of posts. Author is focused on all aspects of Life: from pets to movies. A really wide topics covered, excellent reading.

Among hundreds of posts I found something from the area I found myself an expert: forex trading. Also post related to financial and insurance topics can be found on this blog. Soon there will be one year since this blog is online with nearly 300 posts it really give an impression of frequency.

I was impressed by something I haven't see in any blog visited so far; My disclosure policy. The author added a clear explanation of intention of his blog. The idea is very lucid and I would suggest to other bloggers with similar background to think about write down such disclosure policy.

Good work Magicmercury!

Tuesday, March 30, 2010

No blog posts doesn't mean nothing is going on

The title explains everything, I hope. Last months I have spend a lot of time especially on betting prediction application I was writing several times last year. The basic idea is that it works. My method which combines different concepts including some learned in the forex trading (having in mind Fibonacci approaches) is doing great. So far not all my bets were made with real money but on my Twitter account you can follow the history of my betting signal. Time and energy put into this betting project was rather high and slowly I expect it to generate some profit. It is about time my brothers would say.


Football bets are so cool
So from betting perspective, free demo signal will go on. I am combining now two strategies. One is using mulitples the other is laying on under 2.5 goals. Both strategies I use only for Premier League, I bet no other matches. Month ago I was running a weekend project where I tried to apply my knowhow to wider selection of European leagues. But the results were rather bad, so my decision for now is to stay on England Premier League only.

The short term plan is now to stay keep on sending out weekly signal - every week approximately 24 hours ahead of match. Since I bet with Betfair, my signal gives best results with this betting company. If you however don't have an account, please leave a comment here and I'll send you special referral code, which gives you the following: "Join Betfair right now, simply by clicking here. Once you've earned 210 Betfair Points we'll automatically put €20 into your account."

Friday, December 18, 2009

End of the year, perfect time for new start

Wow. I can't believe it, I haven't write a single post on my blog since May 2009. Uf. That's really long period of time. It seems that I will become more active soonish. But let me first explain how my projects are going. Actually I will focus 100% on betting in this post, tough I was testing for last 9 months a very good Forex system.


New start
A month ago I really had some hard time in my life and still going through. Additionally my programmer who really made a great work on my betting prediction application quit working with me. So at this moment, very now, I am at a very beginning. And very alone.

Yesterday I started to post my betting pics free online again on Twitter (there is a twitter updates widget on left column of this blog). After many many months, things were re-tested and reviewed and I got something close to holly grail. How my first implementation finished I wrote in my last post: Why my betting application didn't work out well. More about my plans on Twitter signal can be found on Free Forex and betting signal over Twitter.

What is most important now is how to go on:
  • since I expanded collection of data for football matches from Premier League in England to all major leagues around the world, I am getting a lot of information much faster;
  • more data means more picks, and at the same time, there is more days available to bet;
  • soon I will start collect performance of my picks;
  • for now, all football picks will be posted on my Twitter account http://twitter.com/th0rest , this will be so called DEMO period;
  • picks will be published daily in the evening for the next day matches: example can be seen here: http://twitter.com/Th0rest/status/6771334277 .
Soon I will be back and explain how to use my signal in details, for those who are already familiar with betting everything would be clear from my Twitter posts. But if you have any questions, you are more than welcome.

Friday, May 22, 2009

Why my betting appliction didn't work out well

For the last two years I was working on online betting predictions. First I started with simple laying on horses with relatively high odd, bellow 1.6. The strategy behind was simple and can be found on various websites which are revealing so called "holly grail". The horses which are potential winners are often not winning, so laying on them brings nice profit. But it is not that easy and I was trying to use my statistical and other knowledge to build up an application, which would combine three major parameters: current odd (later on when Betfair added near price prediction, I used that odd), intelligence information (website which was predicting winners) and history results. First notion in my blog about this activity was in post Free Forex and betting signal over Twitter.

System was great when it got enough historical cases, i.e. around 100 events. But there was a little problem... Based on assumption, that I lay on odds 1.6 and lower, I ended laying on horses in interval of 2.5. - 3.1 (which was flexible of course, since my application was learning from new data). This interval is no longer high profit and my predictions seems to be very accurate. But if I missed it, there was major loss. This was no go, and after several months of posting my prediction on Twitter, I closed this story.


And went to next challenge, which was Premiership soccer games. Since I started it some months ago, it still didn't got enough data, but I got some very good results out of it. My strategy is betting on matches to have Over 2.5 goals. A very popular option of betting, since it doesn't matter who wins and scores, but only to have 3 goals on the single match. And surprisingly it happens many times, and with a little help of my application, results were even more accurate. So for next season I plan to rebuild my prediction application and get really profit of it. I am optimistic, as results shows high correlations with my signal, also posted on my Twitter page.

Lesson learned: methods and ways to make money on Internet are numerous. But everything must be tested first. And maybe most important thing: set your goals, and don't change them in the middle of a project. If you get bet results, try something else, from scratch.

Thursday, April 16, 2009

ALERT: Liberty Reserve phising email

From August last year I haven't receive any phishing email from Liberty Reserve... Last one was on Liberty Reserve - phishing emails - watch out. Today I received new one. It really is annoying when I see such emails, which can be very dangerous for Liberty Reserve users. So if you have money on Liberty Reserve, do never click on any link from email or suspicious websites.

Even if it looks like it is directly from LR, it just looks like. Even if link seems to be correct, believe me, it is just text, the real URL address behind is different and will take you to hostile site where they take your credentials.

Here is how it looks the email I got (links removed of course):

IMPORTANT: Your LibertyReserve account has been suspended! (


Liberty Reserve

to me
02:20 (19 hours ago)






Security Measures
Dear,

We have reason to believe that your account was accessed by a third party. Because protecting the security of your account is our primary concern, we have limited access to sensitive Liberty Reserve account features. We understand that this may be an inconvenience but please understand that this temporary limitation is for your protection.

How can I restore my account access?

Click the link below and confirm your Liberty Reserve account information, otherwise your Liberty Reserve access will remain restricted:

https://www.libertyreserve.com/en/customer/login2/index.aspx


Thank you for your prompt attention to this matter. Please understand that this is a security measure meant to help protect you and your account. We apologize for any inconvenience.

2002 2009 Liberty Reserve S.A. All rights reserved.

Wednesday, April 15, 2009

Web Hosting Geeks: name says it all

A web site which is online since 2004 has a lot to offer. The name web hosting geeks describes the best what this site offers. It is the most comprehensive overview of web sites which offer web hosting. And much more. Actually I was surprised how low website hosting prices are. I like when information is provided in a simple way: tables with price information and essential information on sites reviewed are transparently displayed. Web Hosting Geeks website goes even further, it offer much more than simple listing of web hosting. You can find web hosting awards, reviews and blogs.

Web hosting sounds familiar to everyone out here on Internet, but are we really aware of all traps behind? And there is also a question of security of web hosting. All those aspects are covered on Web Hosting Geeks site in blog categories section.

Reading this site I am thinking about moving my blog to some other service. Blogspot is ok, but comparing what you can get for small amount of money it really is a bargain.

Monday, March 16, 2009

Website hosting directory

If you look for a webhosting, look no further! Recently I discovered website hosting rating site, which has a comprehensive overview of webhosting sites. And it is more than just a rating site. You can find there reviews, rating, comparisons among different services. And actually this site really can come in handy. How many times my friends are asking me, where they can get good hosting. I remember that year ago I spend hours of googling to get a good price performance Windows hosting service. Now with this site, you really have everything on the same place.

Some may find useful directory of Hosting Awards 2008, but I found a diamond in CMS web hosts listing. Since Joomla is getting more and more popular even among less technical webmasters, here you can found best Joomla host in 2009. Of course other hostings listings including phpBB, Wordpress, PHPWiki and many others are available.

Finally you shouldn't miss articles section, which explains almost everything about hosting: from installation guides to articles such as The importance of Domain names, which gives a valuable information to everyone who is a content provider.